Pre-tourney Rankings
North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.1#32
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#40
Pace66.8#157
Improvement-0.4#191

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#32
Improvement-0.3#195

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#32
Improvement-0.2#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 4.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round50.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.9% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 313   Jackson St. W 93-58 97%     1 - 0 +22.8 -6.1 -6.1
  Nov 17, 2014 115   Hofstra W 76-64 84%     2 - 0 +12.5 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2014 329   Jacksonville W 79-43 98%     3 - 0 +21.0 -7.5 -7.5
  Nov 23, 2014 255   South Florida W 68-65 95%     4 - 0 -5.0 -4.0 -4.0
  Nov 26, 2014 62   Richmond W 84-72 72%     5 - 0 +17.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Nov 28, 2014 51   Boise St. W 60-54 68%     6 - 0 +12.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Dec 02, 2014 38   @ Purdue L 61-66 42%     6 - 1 +8.1 +6.6 +6.6
  Dec 06, 2014 117   Wake Forest W 78-65 84%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +13.4 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 12, 2014 204   Charleston Southern W 86-50 93%     8 - 1 +31.0 -2.5 -2.5
  Dec 14, 2014 118   Wofford L 54-55 84%     8 - 2 -0.7 +0.2 +0.2
  Dec 17, 2014 81   Tennessee W 83-72 78%     9 - 2 +13.9 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 20, 2014 23   West Virginia L 69-83 43%     9 - 3 -1.1 +6.4 +6.4
  Dec 23, 2014 84   Louisiana Tech W 73-65 79%     10 - 3 +10.8 +1.4 +1.4
  Dec 30, 2014 55   Cincinnati L 60-76 69%     10 - 4 -10.0 +3.0 +3.0
  Jan 03, 2015 73   Pittsburgh W 68-50 76%     11 - 4 2 - 0 +21.6 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 07, 2015 6   @ Virginia L 51-61 15%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +12.3 +11.1 +11.1
  Jan 11, 2015 5   Duke W 87-75 29%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +28.9 +8.5 +8.5
  Jan 14, 2015 9   North Carolina L 79-81 39%     12 - 6 3 - 2 +12.1 +7.0 +7.0
  Jan 17, 2015 82   @ Florida St. W 72-63 60%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +17.5 +4.3 +4.3
  Jan 22, 2015 41   @ Miami (FL) L 60-65 43%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +7.8 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 25, 2015 10   Notre Dame L 78-81 OT 40%     13 - 8 4 - 4 +10.7 +6.9 +6.9
  Jan 28, 2015 77   Clemson L 57-68 77%     13 - 9 4 - 5 -7.7 +1.7 +1.7
  Jan 31, 2015 85   @ Georgia Tech W 81-80 OT 60%     14 - 9 5 - 5 +9.5 +4.2 +4.2
  Feb 03, 2015 117   @ Wake Forest L 84-88 68%     14 - 10 5 - 6 +2.1 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 11, 2015 6   Virginia L 47-51 30%     14 - 11 5 - 7 +12.5 +8.2 +8.2
  Feb 14, 2015 16   @ Louisville W 74-65 28%     15 - 11 6 - 7 +26.2 +8.6 +8.6
  Feb 21, 2015 159   Virginia Tech W 69-53 90%     16 - 11 7 - 7 +13.3 -1.4 -1.4
  Feb 24, 2015 9   @ North Carolina W 58-46 20%     17 - 11 8 - 7 +31.8 +9.9 +9.9
  Feb 28, 2015 91   @ Boston College L 63-79 63%     17 - 12 8 - 8 -8.3 +3.8 +3.8
  Mar 03, 2015 77   @ Clemson W 66-61 58%     18 - 12 9 - 8 +14.1 +4.5 +4.5
  Mar 07, 2015 56   Syracuse W 71-57 69%     19 - 12 10 - 8 +19.9 +3.0 +3.0
  Mar 11, 2015 73   Pittsburgh W 81-70 67%     20 - 12 +17.5 +3.2 +3.2
  Mar 12, 2015 5   Duke L 53-77 20%     20 - 13 -4.2 +9.9 +9.9
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 99.3% 99.3% 7.9 0.0 0.5 4.2 23.3 45.9 22.6 2.7 0.0 0.7 99.3%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 7.9 0.0 0.5 4.2 23.3 45.9 22.6 2.7 0.0 0.7 99.3%